Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates Portfolio in 2026: Top Holdings & Recent Changes

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Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, showcases his signature macro-driven approach in the latest 13F filing. His $27.4B Q4 2025 portfolio reveals aggressive additions to broad market ETFs alongside strategic tech rotations, blending passive S&P exposure with high-conviction bets on AI leaders like NVDA amid economic uncertainty.

Portfolio Overview: The Macro Master's Diversified Powerhouse

Ray Dalio Portfolio Analysis
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Portfolio Highlights (Q4’2025): - Market Value: $27.4B - Top 10 Holdings: 36.3% - Portfolio Size: 1040 +4 - Average Holding Period: 7 quarters - Turnover: 32.1%

Bridgewater's Q4 2025 portfolio exemplifies Ray Dalio's risk-parity philosophy scaled to institutional extremes, with over 1,000 positions providing broad diversification while top holdings command significant weight. The 36.3% concentration in the top 10 underscores selective conviction amid a massive scale, where passive ETFs anchor the core for market beta exposure. A turnover of 32.1% signals active rebalancing, up from prior quarters, reflecting Dalio's responsiveness to macroeconomic shifts like inflation signals or AI momentum.

The average holding period of 7 quarters (about 1.75 years) balances patience with adaptability, allowing Bridgewater to capture fundamental shifts without chasing short-term noise. Portfolio growth to 1040 positions +4 hints at opportunistic expansion into niche opportunities, yet the ETF dominance suggests hedging against volatility in individual stocks. Investors tracking via ValueSense can see how this structure mitigates downside while positioning for broad upside.

This setup aligns with Dalio's "All Weather" principles, prioritizing balance across asset classes even in equity-focused 13Fs. The Bridgewater portfolio remains a benchmark for macro investors navigating 2026 uncertainties.

Top Holdings: ETF Anchors Meet Tech Momentum Plays

Bridgewater's top positions blend massive ETF builds with targeted tech adjustments, starting with a whopping Add 73.69% to SPDR S&P 500 ETF TR at 11.1% $3,038.2M, signaling heavy broad-market conviction. Close behind, ISHARES TR saw an Add 3.37% to 10.5% $2,866.9M, reinforcing passive core exposure. NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) jumped with an Add 54.01% to 2.6% $720.9M, betting big on AI infrastructure.

Trims appeared in semiconductors and megacaps: Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) at 1.9% $520.7M after a Reduce 12.19%, while SALESFORCE INC dipped Reduce 3.73% to 1.9% $511.8M. Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) faced a sharp Reduce 40.06% to 1.8% $497.9M, and Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) shed Reduce 10.31% to 1.7% $475.9M.

Additions continued with Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) surging Add 73.18% to 1.6% $449.7M, Adobe Inc. (ADBE) edging up Add 0.98% to 1.6% $446.3M, and GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) gaining Add 2.29% to 1.6% $435.3M. These moves highlight a pivot toward AI enablers and industrials, with ETFs buffering the 32.1% turnover.

What the Portfolio Reveals

Bridgewater's Q4 actions paint a clear macro picture: defensive breadth via ETFs paired with selective growth bets.

  • Sector Focus on Tech and Semis: Heavy NVDA/LRCX exposure (4.5% combined) screams AI conviction, tempered by trims in GOOGL/MSFT to avoid overcrowding.
  • ETF Risk Management: 21.6% in top two ETFs provides S&P ballast, hedging single-stock volatility in a 1040-position behemoth.
  • Macro Rotation Signals: Massive AMZN/ETF adds suggest optimism for consumer/tech recovery, while GEV nods to energy transition plays.
  • Balanced Turnover Discipline: 32.1% churn reflects Dalio's principles-based adjustments, not panic selling.

This reveals a strategy prioritizing "holy grail" balance—growth potential with downside protection.


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Portfolio Concentration Analysis

PositionValue% of PortfolioRecent Change
SPDR S&P 500 ETF TR$3,038.2M11.1%Add 73.69%
ISHARES TR$2,866.9M10.5%Add 3.37%
NVIDIA Corporation$720.9M2.6%Add 54.01%
Lam Research Corporation$520.7M1.9%Reduce 12.19%
SALESFORCE INC$511.8M1.9%Reduce 3.73%
Alphabet Inc.$497.9M1.8%Reduce 40.06%
Microsoft Corporation$475.9M1.7%Reduce 10.31%
Amazon.com, Inc.$449.7M1.6%Add 73.18%
Adobe Inc.$446.3M1.6%Add 0.98%
GE Vernova Inc.$435.3M1.6%Add 2.29%

The table illustrates Bridgewater's controlled concentration, with top-two ETFs dominating at 21.6% for broad exposure, while individual stocks cap at 2.6%. Aggressive adds like NVDA +54% and AMZN +73% show high-conviction scaling, contrasted by deep cuts in GOOGL -40% to reallocate capital. At 36.3% total top-10 weight across 1040 positions, this avoids over-reliance on winners, embodying Dalio's risk-parity ethos.

Such positioning amplifies alpha from AI themes while ETFs dampen drawdowns, with 32.1% turnover enabling nimble pivots without disrupting the core.

Investment Lessons from Ray Dalio's Bridgewater Approach

Ray Dalio's Q4 portfolio demonstrates timeless principles for navigating complex markets:

  • Embrace diversification at scale: 1040 positions +4 prove breadth reduces risk, even for a $27.4B giant—retail investors can replicate via ETFs.
  • Macro drives micro moves: ETF surges (SPDR +73%) signal big-picture bets; pair with stock adds like NVDA for targeted upside.
  • Trim ruthlessly on shifts: GOOGL's -40% cut shows conviction requires exits when theses evolve.
  • Turnover as discipline: 32.1% churn keeps portfolios fresh, balancing 7-quarter holds with adaptability.
  • ETFs for risk parity: 21.6% passive core hedges volatility, freeing capital for high-conviction plays like AMZN.

Track these via Bridgewater's portfolio on ValueSense.

Looking Ahead: What Comes Next?

Bridgewater's ETF-heavy positioning sets up for 2026 volatility, with S&P exposure capturing any soft-landing rally. AI bets (NVDA, AMZN) position for tech leadership, while GEV eyes infrastructure tailwinds. High turnover suggests readiness to deploy into undervalued cyclicals if rates fall.

No explicit cash figure in 13Fs, but position expansions imply dry powder for macro pivots like commodities or defensives. Current tech rotations favor growth-at-reasonable-prices amid election risks—watch Q1 for inflation responses.

FAQ about Ray Dalio Portfolio

Q: What were Bridgewater's biggest Q4 2025 changes?

A: Massive adds to SPDR S&P 500 ETF TR (+73.69% to 11.1%), ISHARES TR (+3.37% to 10.5%), NVDA +54.01%, and AMZN +73.18%, offset by cuts like GOOGL -40.06% and LRCX -12.19%.

Q: Why does Bridgewater hold over 1,000 positions with 36.3% in top 10?

A: Dalio's risk-parity strategy demands broad diversification to balance risks, using ETFs for beta and selective stocks for alpha—ideal for macro uncertainty.

Q: What does the 7-quarter holding period reveal about strategy?

A: It balances patience for compounding with 32.1% turnover for adjustments, avoiding short-term trading while adapting to economic cycles.

Q: How exposed is Bridgewater to tech/AI in Q4 2025?

A: Top holdings feature NVDA 2.6%, LRCX 1.9%, plus MSFT/GOOGL/AMZN/ADBE (7.3% combined), but ETFs dilute single-stock risk.

Q: How can I track Ray Dalio's Bridgewater portfolio?

A: Use ValueSense's superinvestor tracker at https://valuesense.io/superinvestors/bridgewater for 13F updates, visualizations, and changes—note the 45-day reporting lag means real-time positions may differ.


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